Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002021 0.002146 0.002276 0.002420 0.002576 0.002741 0.002928
2025-05-04 0.001878 0.002059 0.002255 0.002483 0.002742 0.003028 0.003370
2025-05-11 0.001791 0.002013 0.002261 0.002561 0.002914 0.003321 0.003829
2025-05-18 0.001695 0.001944 0.002228 0.002581 0.003011 0.003524 0.004187
2025-05-25 0.001581 0.001841 0.002146 0.002532 0.003015 0.003607 0.004398
2025-06-01 0.001496 0.001767 0.002089 0.002507 0.003041 0.003712 0.004636
2025-06-08 0.001444 0.001727 0.002070 0.002524 0.003118 0.003883 0.004967
2025-06-15 0.001378 0.001667 0.002022 0.002499 0.003136 0.003974 0.005192
2025-06-22 0.001323 0.001616 0.001982 0.002482 0.003161 0.004073 0.005432
2025-06-29 0.001270 0.001566 0.001940 0.002458 0.003174 0.004154 0.005648
2025-07-06 0.001218 0.001514 0.001892 0.002423 0.003168 0.004206 0.005822
2025-07-13 0.001156 0.001446 0.001821 0.002353 0.003108 0.004177 0.005872
2025-07-20 0.001129 0.001428 0.001818 0.002382 0.003198 0.004379 0.006307
2025-07-27 0.001113 0.001422 0.001832 0.002434 0.003325 0.004647 0.006872
2025-08-03 0.001104 0.001426 0.001860 0.002508 0.003487 0.004978 0.007570
2025-08-10 0.001078 0.001405 0.001851 0.002527 0.003567 0.005187 0.008083
2025-08-17 0.001033 0.001355 0.001799 0.002479 0.003540 0.005221 0.008294
2025-08-24 0.000998 0.001318 0.001763 0.002454 0.003547 0.005310 0.008608
2025-08-31 0.000978 0.001301 0.001756 0.002471 0.003622 0.005515 0.009155
2025-09-07 0.000947 0.001268 0.001723 0.002447 0.003627 0.005600 0.009483
2025-09-14 0.000920 0.001239 0.001697 0.002430 0.003643 0.005707 0.009860
2025-09-21 0.000892 0.001209 0.001666 0.002407 0.003646 0.005789 0.010196
2025-09-28 0.000864 0.001176 0.001630 0.002373 0.003629 0.005832 0.010454